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 Landlord property values stabilise

 

Tuesday, July 27, 2004


Paragon Mortgages’ July buy-to-let index provides further evidence of the continuation of the cooling trend in property values that began in May: prices paid by residential property investors were up only marginally, by 0.5%, in June. This is a slightly larger increase than last month’s 0.1%, but remains much lower than the increases of 4.5% and 2.5% witnessed in March and April.

Landlords are now paying an average property price of £137,849, up by just over £700 from £137,112 last month.

At the same time, rental incomes at £9,603 are down slightly this month from the record figures of £9,867 seen in May and £9,953 in April, partly reflecting the traditionally quieter summer period in the housing market. However, rents are still considerably higher than they were for most of 2003: this month’s figure is 5.2% higher than in June 2003 (£9,133) and 6.8% up on the beginning of 2004, when rental income averaged £8,989.

John Heron, Paragon Mortgages’ managing director, comments: “Over the past few months, we’ve seen landlord property values start to stabilise across the UK. Prices paid by residential property investors are still increasing, but only very slightly: in June they were up by just 0.5%, in contrast with the large rises seen in recent months, when investors had to compete with owner-occupiers in a busy market with limited stock available.”

“The supply shortages of the spring seem to be over, and now investment properties have reverted to their customary trend of rising less rapidly than the housing market generally, as the strong demand from owner-occupiers has started to tail off. Landlords are typically able to strike better deals than people buying their own home as they are not emotive purchasers.”

Comparative house price inflation

Sources: www.hbosplc.com and www.nationwide.co.uk

Average house
price, June 04

12 month
change
June ’03 - ’04

Average change
over past three
months

Change over past month

Paragon buy-to-let

£137,849

16.9%

3.1%

0.5%

Halifax

£159,735

22.5%

3.4%

1.2%

Nationwide

£151,524

19.1%

3.8%

0.9%

Annual house price inflation on buy-to-let properties has decreased from over 25% in April to 22.7% in May and to 16.9% this month, making Paragon’s figure lower than the latest data published by Halifax and Nationwide. This provides evidence that as housing stocks grow and competition between buyers abates, landlords are once again getting better deals on properties than owner-occupiers.

Total annual return (rents plus capital appreciation)

Property value
June 2003

Property value
appreciation

Rental income
June 2003

Total gross
return

Return on
initial
investment

North

£51,779

£25,390

£5,413

£30,804

59.49%

Wales

£81,113

£28,184

£7,219

£35,403

43.65%

Yorkshire

£73,443

£24,671

£7,026

£31,697

43.16%

East Anglia

£98,233

£27,791

£6,507

£34,298

34.92%

South West

£136,026

£34,976

£11,115

£46,091

33.88%

East Midlands

£106,771

£26,432

£8,752

£35,184

32.95%

West Midlands

£99,226

£17,432

£7,763

£25,195

25.39%

North West

£80,615

£7,727

£7,769

£15,496

19.22%

South East

£146,285

£17,354

£10,328

£27,682

18.92%

Greater London

£206,283

£13,877

£13,973

£27,850

13.50%

National

£117,902

£19,948

£9,133

£29,080

24.67%

Landlords continue to enjoy strong overall returns, with total returns generated since June 2003 (on an average property purchased that month) of almost 25% - a total of £29,080, comprising £19,948 in capital appreciation plus £9,133 in rental income, on a property worth £117,902 at purchase.

Seven out of ten regions provide landlords with a total annual return in excess of 25%. The North overtook East Anglia in generating the highest overall return, of nearly 60%. Wales offered the second highest total return to investor landlords of 43.7%, while Yorkshire & Humberside was in third place, with a similar level of return of 43.2%. The total annual return exceeded 30% in three other regions – East Anglia (34.9%), South West (33.9%), and East Midlands (33.0%).

Nationally, landlord yields stand at 7.0% this month, slightly lower than in recent months.

Seven out of ten regions saw property values increase, with Yorkshire & Humberside up sharply by 12.1% to £98,114, the North up 11% to £77,169 and Wales up 10% to £109,297. Rents also increased in five regions, with the largest increases witnessed in those regions with the highest property price increases.

There was an easing of yields nation-wide this month, with only East Anglia experiencing a small increase from 7.29% in May to 7.30% in June. As previously, the highest yields are achieved in the North and in the West Midlands.

Winners and losers by region

 

 

Region

June 2004

May 2004

April 2004

Top yields
(property values)

North

8.16%
(£77,169)

8.67%
(£69,494)

8.73%
(£62,465)

 

West Midlands

7.75%
(£116,658)

8.06%
(£110,081)

8.00%
(£114,304)


Bottom yields
(property values)


Greater London


6.55%
(£220,160)


6.95%
(£229,899)


6.90%
(£236,183)

 

 

South East

6.53%
(£163,639)

6.66%
(£163,173)

6.64%
(£164,596)

 
 
     
     
 

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