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 Unseasonal rise in mortgage lending

 

Wednesday, December 21, 2005


Gross mortgage lending rose by 5% to an estimated £28.5 billion in November according to the latest figures from the Council of Mortgage Lenders.

This was the second highest monthly lending figure on record, 1% lower than the £28.9 billion of lending in July 2004, and 30% more than the £21.7 billion of lending last November.

Lending activity usually slows down towards the end of the year, so November’s increase indicates a robust underlying picture. The strength in lending continues to reflect the recovery in housing market activity over the past year, supported by high levels of remortgaging. Bank of England approvals figures show remortgaging activity to have been at record levels in recent months, driven by rising numbers of fixed-rate deals maturing and consumers therefore looking for a new deal.

Commenting on the figures, CML director general Michael Coogan said, "The housing and mortgage markets have clearly strengthened significantly from the lows of a year ago. There have been upward trends in gross mortgage lending and approvals, and more stable house prices in recent months."

But Coogan cautioned against expecting a big rise in prices next year saying, "While it could be tempting to assume this strengthening will continue, our expectation for the coming year is of relatively subdued transactions levels, mortgage lending moderating a little from recent levels, and house prices rising by about 2%."

He also predicted more home improvement over buying. "Affordability pressures will persist for first-time buyers and aspirational house-moving is likely to appear unattractive compared to home improvement," he said.

 
 
     
     
 

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