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 Widening 'deposit gap' takes buyers out of reach

 

Thursday, December 08, 2005


First-time buyers in Scotland and the North of England have seen stark increases in the amount of time it will take them to save just a 5% deposit for their first home.

In the south, house price growth has ground to a halt during the past year, as previous strong gains have left many people priced out of the market, but in northern regions rises in property prices have continued to outstrip increases in average earnings, according to National Savings & Investments.

NS&I’s research shows the average time taken to raise a deposit in the UK is now four years and nine months. This is a three-month increase on last year, but the time taken has been static in the last six months, illustrating the overall stabilisation of house prices.

 

UK average

Period

Price of typical
FTB home (2)

Deposit required
(5%)

Time to save for deposit
for typical FTB home
(years)

Q3 2005

£153,032

£7,652

4 yrs 9 mths

Q1 2005

£147,127

£7,356

4 yrs 9 mths

Q3 2004

£143,743

£7,187

4 yrs 6 mths

Q1 2004

£126,341

£6,317

4 yrs

Q1 1994

£49,021

£2,451

2 yrs 9 mths

The regional picture for the North of England is very different to that of Southern England. In the South, high house price growth has slowed as prices peaked and people were priced out of the market, this has led to either small increases or no change at all to the time it takes first-time buyers to raise a deposit.

However in the North, which boasts historically lower house prices, the property market has seen steady increases and first-time buyers are facing a much longer wait. These stark increases in the traditionally lower priced areas of the UK mean it now takes first-time buyers in all UK regions at least four years to save for a deposit – the first time this has happened.

 

Across the UK: Time taken to save 5% deposit for a typical FTB home

Regions

Q1 2004 (years)

Q3 2004 (years)

Q1 2005 (years)

Q3 2005(years)

Annual increase
(Q3 2004 - Q3 2005)
(months)

UK

4 yrs

4 yrs 6 mths

4 yrs 9 mths

4 yrs 9 mths

+ 3 mths

East of England

4 yrs

4 yrs 6 mths

5 yrs

5 yrs

+ 6 mths

Wales

3 yrs

4 yrs

4 yrs 6 mths

4 yrs 6 mths

+ 6 mths

W. Mids

3 yrs 3 mths

4 yrs

4 yrs 6 mths

4 yrs 6 mths

+ 6 mths

London

4 yrs 3 mths

4 yrs 6 mths

4 yrs 6 mths

4 yrs 9 mths

+ 3 mths

SE

4 yrs 3 mths

4 yrs 6 mths

4 yrs 6 mths

4 yrs 6 mths

=

SW

4 yrs 3 mths

4 yrs 6 mths

4 yrs 6 mths

4 yrs 6 mths

=

E.Mids

3 yrs 9 mths

4 yrs

4 yrs 3 mths

4 yrs 3 mths

+ 3 mths

NE

3 yrs

3 yrs 9 mths

4 yrs 3 mths

4 yrs 6 mths

+ 9 mths

NW

3 yrs

3 yrs 9 mths

4 yrs 3 mths

4 yrs 6 mths

+ 9 mths

Y&H

3 yrs

3 yrs 6 mths

4 yrs

4 yrs 3 mths

+ 9 mths

N.Ireland

3 yrs

3 yrs 3 mths

4 yrs

4 yrs

+ 9 mths

Scots

3 yrs

3 yrs 6 mths

3 yrs 9 mths

4 yrs 6 mths

+ 12 mths

Scotland hardest hit

The Scots have been hardest hit over the past year, as their buoyant housing market has raised the time it takes to save for a 5% deposit by 12 months, from three years and six months (Q3 2004) to four years and six months (Q3 2005). Scottish first-time buyers now have to save for exactly the same length of time as those in the South East of England, whereas only twelve months ago they were a year apart.

House prices have also outstripped incomes across the North East and North West of England and Yorkshire and Humberside, as the length of time that first-time buyers need to save for has jumped by nine months in the past year, to four years and six months in both the North East and North West and four years and three months in Yorkshire and Humberside.

South stabilises

In most regions in the South the time taken to save a deposit remained stable over the last six months. London was the exception with a small increase of three months to four years and nine months as house prices took off again.

This contrast in regional fortunes can be attributed to a housing market that has generally peaked and now is stabilising in the south of the country while in the north it is continuing to rise to the levels set in the south.

However, despite these changes, the south was still home to the hardest pressed buyers. First-time buyers who live in the East of England take an average of five years to save for a 5% deposit for their first home and buyers in London need to save for four years and nine months.

Hope for continued stabilisation

Although it now takes first-time buyers at least four years to save for a 5% deposit, annual house price inflation has slowed significantly. Prices have risen just 6.5% (Q3 2004 – Q3 2005) compared to 16.5% (Q1 2004 – Q1 2005). The amount of time taken to save for a deposit has also stabilised in the last six months with the UK average and seven out of twelve regions showed no quarter on quarter increase.

Dax Harkins, senior savings strategist at National Savings and Investments, comments: "The market has visibly cooled over the last six months and it is reassuring that the time taken to raise a deposit has started to stabilise in some areas. However, it is concerning to see that it now takes all UK first-time buyers over four years to save for a deposit for their first home."

"With incomes and savings rates continuing to lag behind house price inflation, this means that potential first-time buyers need to start saving sooner and harder to get into the market. Also the increase in London’s house prices in the last six months after a period of stabilisation between 2004 Q3 and 2005 Q1 suggests while the housing market has experienced a soft landing, prices may be set to take off again."

"With or without further rises, we would recommend that potential buyers continue to save the highest percentage of their income possible if they want to avoid an almost five year wait just to afford the deposit."

 
 
     
     
 

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