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 The UK’s top property hotspot is…

 

Tuesday, July 26, 2005


Scottish and Welsh towns dominate the UK top 10 with five and two towns respectively in the list. Additionally, all 10 towns recording the biggest price increases in the last 12 months are outside southern England.

The information comes from the recently published Halifax 2nd quarter regional house price index which details house price movements based on the lender's mortgage offers.

Irvine in Strathclyde, Scotland is the UK's top property hotspot with a 44% rise in prices over the past year. Average prices in Irvine are up from £69,536 in 2004 Quarter 2 to £100,249 in 2005 Quarter 2.

Port-Talbot (43%), Motherwell (41%), Glenrothes (39%) and Blackwood in Gwent (38%), along with Irvine, make up the top five.

There have been significant changes to the top ten in recent quarters with only one town, Port Talbot, in the list six months ago. All 10 towns delivering the strongest price rises over the past year had, and continue to have, average house prices below the UK average.

Best performing counties

At a county level, County Fermanagh in Northern Ireland (31%) has seen the biggest price rises over the last year followed by Highlands in Scotland (27%) and Dumfries & Galloway in Scotland (22%). Counties in Scotland dominate the list of counties across the UK that have recorded the fastest price rises for the year. There are six counties in amongst the 10 counties UK-wide recording the biggest price gains in the last 12 months.

A number of counties in the South East have recorded small house price falls over the past year: Oxfordshire (-2%), Buckinghamshire (-1%), Hertfordshire (-1%) and Surrey (-1%). Nine of the ten counties recording the smallest increases over the last 12 months were in southern England.

North/South House Price Divide

There has been a distinct north/south divide in house price performance over the past year with more subdued or falling prices across southern England. Northern Ireland (26.9%) and Scotland (12.5%) have experienced the strongest price rises, followed by Yorkshire and the Humber (8.9%), Wales (8.7%) and two northern English regions –, the North West (7.8%) and the North (4.9%). As previously forecast, Greater London (-2.5%), the South East (-0.6%) and the South West (1.6%) have seen the most modest performance.

However, the slowdown in the South of England should be viewed in the context of the substantial house price rises in these regions over the past 10 years. Prices have risen by 207% in London, 180% in the South East and 202% in the South West since 1995 Quarter 2.

The gap between prices in London and the rest of the country has declined to its lowest level in more than seven years. The average price in the capital stood at 1.47 times the national average in 2005 Quarter 2 compared with a peak of 1.87 times four years' ago (2001 Quarter 3). It is now at its lowest point since 1997 Q4. The north/south divide, however, remains wider than it was ten years' ago when the average price in London was only 1.26 times the national average.

In the second quarter annual house price growth across the UK fell below annual average earnings growth for the first time since early 2001. The 3.7% rise in UK house prices compares with a 4.6% increase in earnings over the past year. Earnings are expected to continue to outpace house prices during the second half of 2005 which should see the house price/earnings ratio to decline from its current level of 5.5. This would help somewhat to ease the affordability difficulties faced by first-time buyers.

Top 10 UK Hotspots

Posttown

County

2004* average price

2005* average price

% change

Irvine

Strathclyde

69,536

100,249

44%

Port-Talbot

West-Glamorgan

79,256

113,028

43%

Motherwell

Strathclyde

77,314

109,154

41%

Glenrothes

Fife

81,930

113,727

39%

Blackwood

Gwent

104,652

144,414

38%

Inverurie

Grampian

113,470

153,518

35%

Coatbridge

Strathclyde

75,526

101,334

34%

Liversedge

West-Yorkshire

108,113

143,434

33%

Enniskillen

County-Fermanagh

88,139

115,710

31%

Ellesmere-Port

Merseyside

119,217

156,431

31%

Source: Halifax house price index
*12 Months to June

 

 

Counties - Average house prices

County

Region

2004 average price*

2005 average price*

% change

County Fermanagh

N-Ireland

88,139

115,710

31%

Highland

Scotland

107,996

136,764

27%

Dumfries & Galloway

Scotland

102,373

124,858

22%

Borders

Scotland

126,408

150,386

19%

County Tyrone

N-Ireland

90,649

106,928

18%

Gwynedd

Wales

128,007

148,489

16%

South Humberside

Yorks & the Humber

103,811

119,863

15%

Central

Scotland

103,847

119,683

15%

Grampian

Scotland

109,619

126,335

15%

Strathclyde

Scotland

105,448

120,856

15%

Fife

Scotland

100,006

114,575

15%

Cleveland

North

112,658

128,344

14%

Lancashire

North-West

115,454

130,754

13%

Gwent

Wales

126,364

142,914

13%

Dyfed

Wales

134,556

151,541

13%

Tayside

Scotland

111,728

125,802

13%

County Durham

North

111,943

125,084

12%

County Antrim

N-Ireland

105,096

116,941

11%

West-Glamorgan

Wales

114,345

127,069

11%

Suffolk

E-Anglia

168,218

185,962

11%

Merseyside

North-West

126,064

139,239

10%

Northumberland

North

134,144

148,083

10%

Cumbria

North

131,312

144,759

10%

North Yorkshire

Yorks & the Humber

177,758

195,423

10%

Tyne and Wear

North

124,373

136,534

10%

County Londonderry

N-Ireland

100,766

110,440

10%

Powys

Wales

160,232

175,314

9%

South Glamorgan

Wales

153,295

166,715

9%

Nottinghamshire

E-Midlands

130,410

140,809

8%

Derbyshire

E-Midlands

141,497

152,672

8%

Herefordshire

W-Midlands

188,392

203,126

8%

Mid Glamorgan

Wales

108,069

116,190

8%

South Yorkshire

Yorks & the Humber

115,411

124,033

7%

Lincolnshire

E-Midlands

137,427

147,384

7%

Norfolk

E-Anglia

155,727

166,426

7%

West Yorkshire

Yorks & the Humber

126,163

134,755

7%

Bedfordshire

South-East

171,797

183,208

7%

Devon

South-West

178,145

189,752

7%

Somerset

South-West

180,815

192,343

6%

Clwyd

Wales

136,190

144,166

6%

Staffordshire

W-Midlands

133,288

140,851

6%

Cheshire

North-West

174,513

184,199

6%

Cornwall

South-West

187,946

198,343

6%

Lothian

Scotland

155,436

163,619

5%

East Riding

Yorks & the Humber

115,209

121,161

5%

West Midlands

W-Midlands

140,175

147,308

5%

Essex

South-East

203,013

212,328

5%

Dorset

South-West

211,084

219,990

4%

Avon

South-West

182,595

190,121

4%

County Armagh

N-Ireland

102,843

107,063

4%

Worcestershire

W-Midlands

183,113

190,361

4%

Gloucestershire

South-West

190,696

197,338

3%

Berkshire

South-East

248,017

256,630

3%

County Down

N-Ireland

128,047

131,958

3%

Leicestershire

E-Midlands

156,010

160,625

3%

Hampshire

South-East

202,186

208,034

3%

Kent

South-East

196,963

202,575

3%

Northamptonshire

E-Midlands

156,405

160,546

3%

Shropshire

W-Midlands

166,496

170,357

2%

Warwickshire

W-Midlands

182,041

185,756

2%

Cambridgeshire

E-Anglia

173,301

175,703

1%

Wiltshire

South-West

179,434

181,901

1%

East-Sussex

South-East

204,359

206,909

1%

Greater London

Gr-London

275,449

278,180

1%

Isle of Wight

South-East

164,459

165,812

1%

West-Sussex

South-East

224,569

224,174

0%

Surrey

South-East

331,864

330,345

0%

Hertfordshire

South-East

259,565

257,212

-1%

Buckinghamshire

South-East

249,936

246,766

-1%

Oxfordshire

South-East

251,915

247,161

-2%

 
 
     
     
 

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